We've cleaned up the weekly chart to show you the potential range we could be playing in until a breakout on either side! We're going to keep it simple as we update the analysis on a daily basis, this is only for reference to give you a long term view of price within the range. Range Resistance Waiting to hit my 15 min demand zone with confirmation to make an entry.
Looking for breaks either side on this one, support below as per the KOG Report which was published Keeping this one simple and sharing as we have a high hit rate with BTC having traded this in Camelot regularly. Support looks to have formed below and as long as we don't get that daily closing below that lower support line it looks like we could be heading up towards the region!
There's a gap on this but that can't be relied on with BTC so trade it as Get started. Predictions and analysis. Videos only. Supply and Demand. Supply and Demand is one of the core strategies used in trading. It focusses on the ancient laws of supply and demand and how price moves in a free-flowing market. The foundation of this strategy is that the amount of an instrument that is available and the desire of buyers for it, drive the price.
It identifies zones on the chart where demand overwhelms supply the demand zone , driving the price up or where supply overwhelms demand the supply zone , driving the price down. Most supply and demand traders wait for the price to enter these zones, where major activities of buying or selling have taken place, before entering a long or short position themselves.
It makes sense to buy at a demand zone and to sell at a supply zone, but keep in mind that fresh zones are more effective than retested ones. They can be used as entry zones for a continuing trend or as reversal zones for a changing trend. Trades can be made aggressively or conservatively, each with their own rules of entry and exit. TradingView has a smart drawing tool that allows users to visually identify these levels on a chart.
VasilyTrader Premium. Watch for Sell. TradingAxis Premium. AlkalineFX Premium. Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the forex market by analyzing economic, social, and political forces that may affect currency prices. If you think about it, this makes a whole lot of sense! Just like in your Economics class, it is supply and demand that determines price , or in our case, the currency exchange rate. Using supply and demand as an indicator of where price could be headed is easy.
The hard part is analyzing all of the factors that affect supply and demand. As the economy gets better, raising interest rates may be needed to control growth and inflation. In order to get their hands on these lovely assets, traders and investors have to buy some U. This increases demand for the currency.
As a result, the value of the U.
|Analisa supply demand forex||It focusses on the ancient laws of supply and demand and how price moves in a free-flowing market. Fundamental analysis is a way of looking at the forex market by analyzing economic, social, and political forces that may affect currency prices. The hard part is analyzing all of the factors that affect supply and demand. Keeping this one simple and sharing as we have a high hit rate with BTC having traded this in Camelot regularly. Next Lesson What is Sentiment Analysis? Now this is altcoins turn. It identifies zones on the chart where demand overwhelms supply the demand zonedriving the price up or where supply overwhelms demand the supply zonedriving the price down.|
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Apparently, according to many supply and demand teachers, the longer the market has been away from a supply or demand zone the better chance the market has of turning when it eventually returns. If the bank places a pending order to buy or sell for when the market returns to a supply or demand zone are they really going to wait a long time for this to happen?
If we compare the old supply and demand zones colored blue , with the more recent zones colored orange, its easy to see how trading zones which have been created recently is far more profitable than trading zones which were created a long time ago. So really the example above proves to us the quicker the market returns to a supply or demand zone the better the chance it has of giving you a successful trade, older zone do not tend to work out very often, therefore its better if you only place trades in zone which have been created recently.
In other words, if you mark a zone on your charts which has a strong move away from it, how likely that zone is to result in you having a successful trade depends on how big the move which created the zone was. If you marked a supply zone which had a huge drop consisting of multiple bearish large range candles then according to the rules the zone has a really high chance of working out successfully if you decide to trade it. Unfortunately the likelihood of a supply or demand zone giving you a successful trade has nothing to do with whether the move out of the zone was strong or not.
How many times have you placed a trade at a supply or demand zone which has a strong move away only to see the market fly straight through it when it returns? This is because the strength of the move away has nothing to do with how strong the area is.
Common supply and demand teachings would say this is a strong area, yet as you can see the market breaches it without even stopping! Which brings me on to my next point……. Whoever brought when the market was down here has a lot of money at their disposal. As a trending movement increases in length, more and more people begin trading in the same direction. Look at the last drop you can see on the chart before the demand zone is created, at the time of this drop tens of thousands of traders are all beginning to go short expecting lower prices, in order for the market to be able to move up from here, someone needs to come into the market and buy from all the traders who are going short.
This would take a huge amount of money, probably hundreds if not billions of dollars. The market eventually stops falling lower and begins advancing higher, creating the demand zone marked on the image. This zone has a very high probability of giving us a successful trade, not because it has a strong move away, but because we know whoever brought down here creating the zone has invested a lot of money into the market.
Why would someone spend all that money buying up all the sell orders from thousands of traders if their still expecting the market to move lower? Apart from the change of time frame the example above is a very similar to what we looked at previously. First we have a significant downtrend which many people can easily see with one look at the chart, then we have a strong, near vertical move up. This move up tells us somebody has come into the market and brought up all the sell orders from the traders going short into the downtrend.
Again why would someone come into the market and buy from all the traders going short if they were expecting the downtrend to continue? The supply and demand zones which have the highest probability of working out successfully are the ones found at trend reversals.
A demand zone created after the market has been going down for a long duration of time has a much better chance of working out profitably than a demand zone which forms at the beginning of a down-move. In a situation where the market has been going up for a long time a supply zone which forms late into the lifespan of the move up has a far better chance of resulting in a successful trade than a zone which is created at the bottom of the move up.
The first is intra-day trading, in which the aim is to capture many small market movements over the course of the trading day generating small amounts of profits in the process. Bank traders who trade intra-day will want their trades placed during that day, none of them will hold their positions overnight, this means the market makers will have to work the price in the market to places where these intra-day traders will want to buy or sell.
You should only trade zones which the market manages to return to in 24 hours. The reason for this is due to the other type of trading banks participate in, long-term position trading. These long-term positions the banks take is what causes trends to occur in the forex market. The large institutions who operate in the forex market all collaborate together in which direction their planning to take the market and then manipulate the prices so it makes everyone think the market is going to go in the opposite direction to the way in which they are going to be placing their trades.
First notice how there is a significant downtrend which by this point had been in place for nearly three years, due to the fact the market has been going down for such a long time it means the majority of the traders in the market are going short. Then out of nowhere we get a sudden up move. What the banks do then is very clever, they let the price drop, this makes everyone think the downtrend is going to continue so they all start selling again.
When the market returns to where the banks initially brought, they buy again, this second round of buying coupled with the mass liquidation of losing positions by the traders who were selling is what causes the market break significantly higher and begin trending. When large institutions place trades in the market they will want all their trades to be entered at a relatively similar price range, they will not place one trade at one location and then wait until the market has moved far away from their first trade before placing the second one, this is why the market returns to the daily demand zone shown on the image.
As with most forex trading strategies supply and demand traders incorporate the concept of trend into their analysis of the market. Typically what a trader will do is go on the daily chart and see that overall the trend is down, therefore they are only going to take trades at supply zones as they have been told to always trade in the direction of the daily trend. There is nothing wrong with this so long as the trader is taking trades off the daily chart.
If the trader is taking trades off a lower time-frame then problems can arise as they are always going to be trading against the trend on the time-frame they take trades off. If for example the trader take trades off the 1 hour chart then they are unnecessarily going to lose on multiple trades because they believe they should be trading in the direction of the daily trend, regardless of whether the trend on the 1 hour chart is up. If you trade the daily chart then you should be trading in the direction of the daily trend, if you trade the 1 hour chart you should be trading in the direction of the 1 hour trend.
The links below are to all the other articles I have written about supply and demand trading found on this site. Thank you so much for clearing the misconceptions of Supply and Demand trading. Your explanations contains much fresher air and crystal clear. I have a book coming out at the end of December that goes into more detail as to how money actually gets made in the forex markets and why retail traders typically tend to lose money. The book will be sent to all the people who have subscribed to my daily support and resistance level service, i see that you have signed up too but have not confirmed your subscription, if your interested in receiving this book along with the support and resistance levels please find the confirmation email and confirm your subscription.
I have been trading for about 8 months now, and when I came across this concept of Supply and Demand, it immediately caught my attention. Further research had brought up the name Sam Seiden a lot, so I figured I would check him out.
He mentions a LOT that pending orders move the markets… and me as a very novice trader felt almost stupid, to think anything otherwise, simply because he was a floor trader so he must know what he is talking about. I read a lot of comments and he confused a lot of people with this. Teaches me not to be so naive.. You guys have no idea lol Supply and demand is so real. The realest concept in trading.
Its the only thing that makes sense in buying and selling anything. Google fibbonachi and then explain what the hell that has to do with buying and selling anything. Trendlines, fibbonachi, chart patterns are all illusions. They dont exist in buying and selling, so why put them on your chart. Trading isnt that complicated so why complicate it? Do your research on supply and demand properly and put into practise.
You will be suprised and scared of how real it really is. Only thing that makes sense. If I might question the fx internet websites the utmost protected and dependable web-site what it is, I want in direction of start out mastering around forex small by little. Hi, I do believe this is an excellent site.
Money and freedom is the greatest way to change, may you be rich and continue to help other people. Yes around 10 — 20 pips for zones on the 1 hour chart and pips for zones on the daily chart. This will vary depending on the current volatility and the currency being traded. The chart examples you gave are the 1hr TF, which is ok if you accompanied them with a top down chart analysis of the weekly and daily TF charts so we know where we are in the big picture.
While the 1hr chart may show a valid supply zone, we could be sitting right in the weekly demand. I get that logic. Seeing where we are in the bigger picture has nothing to do with the points I was explaining in the article which is why there are no images of the daily or weekly charts showing top down analysis. Teaching people why the move away from a supply or demand zone has no effect on whether the zone itself will work out profitably or not, does not require me to show whether we are in a daily or weekly supply or demand zone because it has nothing to do with it.
Debate among technicians as to whether any difference exists between supply and demand or support and resistance continues to haunt trading forums. It remains a somewhat subjective subject. Supply and demand, however, involves a noticeable recent move and a fresh untouched base. It is essentially points on the chart showing price was able to move with little opposition. In fact, healthy momentum out of the base should be a requirement as it informs traders the area housed strong intent and is worthy of attention.
It is said supply and demand zones work due to institutional traders leaving unfilled orders around the base of these areas. Logically, though, it is unlikely institutional traders leave unfilled orders in the market for long. The risk is too great. Empirically speaking, research shows this is generally true. Areas where price spent a short duration of time from its zone appear the higher-probability setups to trade. Areas where price spent a considerable time away from the zone see arrows fared poorly.
Now have a look at the ones which spent, at most, a week trading from the area check points. Out of seven, two failed. For a supply or demand area to be fresh, two conditions are required. Firstly, the zone forms without assistance from other structure. It cannot form from a reaction to another zone. This is often difficult to picture, so figure 1. At point A, the supply area did not form from a reaction to another supply zone above.
And at point B, until price retested the base of course, it was fresh and untouched. Trading the first time back has proven effective. While trading with the immediate trend is often beneficial, traders also need to account for the fractal nature of the market.
Just because a trend forms on the H1, it does not mean the daily timeframe, or even the H4 timeframe, will display a similar trend. If the H1, H4 and daily timeframes show a comparable trend, nevertheless, the chance of a successful trade from a H1 supply or demand area greatly increases.
It may also be worth taking the time to study multi-timeframe analysis, in regard to structure. Trading short from a supply zone on say, the H1 timeframe, may look great according to trend studies. And this is not somewhere you want to place sell orders, no matter what the trend direction is suggesting.
Traders should always check where they are on the bigger picture, in relation to both the trend and structure. If, for example, there are no higher-timeframe obstacles and the overall trend is favourable, trading at nearby supply and demand zones have a higher probability of working out.
Trading supply and demand areas can be incredibly lucrative if approached correctly. Should you implement some of the mentioned methods in your trading plan, results will likely improve.
23 views Feb 15, #Luky street fx #MENCARI SUPPLY DEMAND DI FOREX more more. Show less. 5. Dislike. Share. Save. bangspektra. bangspektra. Dasar analisa supply and demand Forex trading. 9 views Sep 5, more more. Show less. 0. Dislike. Share. Save. Gratis Subcriber. Gratis Subcriber. Supply and Demand is one of the core strategies used in trading. It focusses on the ancient laws of supply and demand and how price moves in a free-flowing.