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Technical analysis forexyard scam binary options forums

Technical analysis forexyard scam

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The dailies are turning bullish, and there is a very distinct bullish cross forming on the 4 Hour chart, allowing Forex traders a great opportunity to get in at a great low price and go long. Last week's main news came from the housing market, which delivered mixed signals as New Home Sales came in much stronger than expected at K on Thursday, and Existing Home Sales was released at a much lower figure of 5.

The news caused the greenback to retreat a bit and it weakened against most major currencies, yet in a quiet manner, as the market movements were not radical last week. Today, US markets will be closed for Memorial Day and no economic news is expected to be released today.

Traders should expect low liquidity and almost no major price movement coming from the USD side of the world. Regardless of the weak start, it is going to be an exciting week for the Greenback, which will most probably continue the weakening trend for now. The EUR gained some strength last week, after the German Consumer Confidence came in at a much higher than expected 7.

The European market trading will begin quietly today, as no news is expected to come from Europe today due to whit Monday. The tranquil market behavior will continue today on top on the US markets being closed as well, and will focus the rest of the attention to the Asian markets. The JPY continued to weaken last week, and carry trades continued steadily on the back of the CPI release, which came slightly weaker than expected on Friday.

The Corporate Services Price Index CSPI , which measures the rate of inflation experienced by corporations when purchasing services, was released last night at a much higher than expected figure of 1. It looks as if the ongoing weakening trend continues today, with carry trades at full steam.

The movement might even be sharper than usual as the Japanese markets will be in focus today with the US and UK markets closed today. After the 1. The hourly studies are turning bullish, and the dailies are unwinding from an oversold status. It looks as if the next target price will be around 1. The pair has failed to break the 1. The dailies bullish and the hourlies are responding accordingly. It looks as if we are heading back to the 1.

The pair has been going up non-stop since the beginning of March, and now shows some signs of consolidation. There is a bearish cross forming on the daily Slow Stochastic, which indicates that a correction down is inevitable but might not be imminent. The hourlies are still neutral, and selling on highs might be preferable. Last week the pair peaked at 1. The hourlies and the dailies support the notion that the move is down, yet due to low liquidity on the USD side, the move might be delayed a bit.

After an extremely radical uptrend we see the first signals of price consolidation for the pair at the There is a clear bearish cross forming on the 4 Hour chart which provides Forex traders with the opportunity to get in the market at a very strong resistance level that might be the starting point of a local correction, or a long run reversal.

The US Market was closed for holidays on Monday and market liquidity was very low. Today , the Conference Board is expected to release the results of its survey about Consumer Confidence. Consumer Confidence has been a major focus for economists these days, as it reflects consumer behavior and the effect it has on inflation and growth.

The market expects a slight improvement to in comparison to the previous of last month. A stronger than expected figure will likely strengthen the USD and may take this pair under the 1. Tomorrow, expect the release of the minutes from the latest Fed meeting on May the 9th. The Fed kept rates at 5. It's very important to watch the balance between the risk for high inflation and the risk for declining economic growth, trying to find a clue where the rates are going in the US. As such, market liquidity was very low.

Despite the fact that the majority of forex players were away form their desks, the forex market remained open and as always, interesting. The EUR weakened against the dollar after mixed data released in the Euro zone. French consumer spending came in below expectations dropping to The Japanese currency has been trading near record lows and despite its recent revaluation, against the American Dollar it looks the JPY will remain pressured.

This strategy will be in place for the near term. The dollar's advance may stall around The yen may fall to per dollar by June Retail Sales data fell for a second month in April, making it more difficult for the Bank of Japan to raise interest rates from 0.

For the first time in nine months the jobs-to-applicants ratio improved in April. The jobs-to-applicants ratio climbed to 1. The number of full-time employees grew last year for the first time since , and the goal of the Japanese government is to maintain this trend. Even so, while job openings have outnumbered applicants for more than a year, the demand for labor has not driven wages higher. The Average wages declined for a fourth month in March after rising 0. Japanese companies continue to hold down labor costs, so it's hard to expect on the short term a dramatic improvement regarding the wages issue.

In the last couple of days, we have witnessed a tight range trading between the 1. In the chance that it will be completed we are expecting an upcoming bullish trend which will take this pair to 1. Going long if the pair reaches 1. On the 4 H chart it can be observed that the bulls are on their way and the GBP will likely strengthen against the.

A Doji was established and after breaking the tight channel resistance barrier, this pair may continue consolidating at the 1. On the 2 H chart, a falling wedge is to forming in a downtrend which may imply of an upcoming bullish trend. Also the Slow Stochastic is crossing at 9, giving us another signal on the upcoming reversal. Going long at the This pair is trading in a tight range in the last 5 days however today the channel boundaries might be breached when a rising wedge in a downtrend is to be established, this pattern may take this pair up to the level of 1.

On the 2 H chart a double bottom pattern is forming which implies an upcoming reversal. RSI at 18 and Slow Stochastic crossed at 15 only strengthening the possibility that this forex pair will consolidate at the Yesterday the most significant news to come out of the US was the Consumer Confidence Index which rose to this month from a revised The market was expecting a figure of However rising stock prices and a resilient labor market is driving consumer spending which makes up a lion share of the US economic growth.

It is also important to note that consumers' expectations for the inflation rate for 12 months from now were 5. On the back of this positive news the greenback realized marginal gains all across the board and it drove the EUR below the 1. However not all was rosy for the dollar as the positive news was partially offset by concerns about central bank moves in Europe and the Far East to diversify currency holdings and once traders see that the central bankers are on the other side of a trade they usually go with that momentum.

The Consumer Confidence Index kicks off a week of reckoning for the dollar, with the market set to make crucial decisions about the near- term outlook for US interest rates in the wake of a stream of crucial economic data, most notably Friday's Non-Farm Payrolls report for May. So we could see some sharp dollar movement on the back today's release of the ADP employment index which is our first leading indicator for payrolls.

If this figure releases better than expected coupled with hawkish FOMC meeting minutes then we could see the dollar go on a bullish rampage. Yesterday the European current account was reported at an unexpected surplus of 5. The market forecasted an increase in the Euro-zone current account deficit of In other news the German CPI released inline with expectations at 0. The strong EUR does not seem to be negatively impacting the European economy as indicated by the current account surplus and many traders believe that the ECB's main refinancing rate will be 4.

This sentiment, which was the other main driver of the EUR boost, was further reinforced by comments made by the ECB member Weber stating that the current cycle of interest rate increases has not yet reached its end.

Weber also indicated that policymakers will stop utilizing "code words" to signal interest rate changes when the current monetary tightening cycle ends. He also defended the ECB's utilization of the M3 money supply indicator in formulating monetary policy, noting broad money has increased These figures are not expected to cause any volatility, so the EUR should range trade today against the majors but there is a possibility of sharp movement against the greenback if the ADP employment index springs a surprise.

The yen edged higher yesterday, after China said it would raise a stamp duty on stocks in an attempt to cool its equity markets, prompting concerns about risky trades financed by borrowing in the Japanese currency. The EUR dropped against the yen, after touching an all-time high, and U.

The Chinese authorities raised the stamp duty on share trades to 0. In the year history of the modern Chinese stock market, an increase in stamp duty has always caused a market slump over the following few weeks. If this move by the Chinese results in heightened risk aversion we could finally see the unwinding of carry trades. The yen retained most of the gains it gathered earlier from strong Japanese economic data, which reinforced expectations that the Bank of Japan will raise borrowing costs again in the coming months.

News that Japan's unemployment fell to 3. All the economic indicators released have shown improvement and traders have taken them as a lead to buy the JPY. Yesterday, after a choppy trading session where the pair touched 1. The hourlies are still oversold, and the daily studies give mixed signals with a slight tendency to the bearish side.

Local target price might be around 1. The pair touched 1. The hourlies show that the negative steam is about to be over, and a bullish cross is forming on the 4 Hour chart, indicating that there might be a move up again. The massive upwards channel on the daily chart shows no signs of regression, as the slow stochastic supports the notion that the move continues.

The hourlies are showing that the current price level is on the bottom of the channel which indicates s good entry point before the additional move up begins. After peaking at 1. The pair now floats at the upper level of the channel, and together with the bearish slow stochastic the conclusion appears to be a further move south, possibly to the 1. The pair has been showing one the most impressive downtrends currently happening in the forex market.

For more than six months now we see the pair nose dive. All the momentum indicators shows that down is the way to go here, and at this point it looks very lucrative to swing a short position on this phenomenal downtrend. With the dollar barely moving now, this the 4th day in a row, many traders have begun asking themselves 2 questions: 1. What's holding the dollar up 2. What's the reasons which may cause the dollar to crumble under pressure again?

Let's start with the basics: for starters, there are a lot of economic releases expected today and tomorrow ranging from inflation to employment data. The reason the dollar has barely moved is due to the fact that the market is awaiting these news releases.

Will the dollar crumble thereafter? The real question is not this but rather will the dollar break record lows again? This question is on the minds of traders as we head to this Friday's Payrolls release, an indicator that has been known to topple the dollar in the past, especially when the American economy was seen as lackluster - as it is now. The real worry for traders is today's GDP release.

Traders should recall the previous release, on the 27th of April, which helped the dollar make its recent gains. It should also be noted that since that date, bonds, equities, and the dollar have all made significant gains. Today, however, with markets expecting a significant slide in the GDP figure, down to 0. We look to this figure above all others as the sign of future bodings for the forlorn dollar. It may well be that it is overbought at this point and traders will look for bad news to dump the dollar and fast.

We suggest alertness. With the European Central bank scheduled to meet on June 6, incoming economic data has done little to clarify whether the central bank will raise rates in June. Today the Euro-zone retail PMI dropped back into contracting territory. This suggests that consumer spending was very weak in April and possibly in May as well.

In addition to that disappointment, M3 money supply which is an inflationary indicator also fell short of expectations, signaling that inflationary pressures may be abating. It may seem that data is beginning to weaken, but there are still a lot of data that could shift the outlook either way. Meanwhile the Swiss franc is stronger against the Euro ahead of its first quarter GDP release tomorrow.

The Japanese Yen is stronger against all of the major currencies with the exception of the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Even though the US stock market has not responded negatively to the move in the Shanghai index, and actually made gains yesterday, carry traders need to be very careful in the weeks to come. If the Shanghai stock market rebounds and refuses to fall, the Chinese government will become even more anxious about cooling the stock market.

As a result, they could take more aggressive measures which would only put further pressure on carry trades. The pair recovered most of the losses after nailing a new low for its short-term downtrend. The pair should trade sideways to lower today. It has strong support at 1. If this level breaks, look for a test of the support at 1. Below this Fibonacci retracement level there is support at 1.

Immediate resistance is at 1. Next resistance lies between 1. A close above 1. We have retraced to almost The Sterling should make a good effort to base here and try to rally back to 1. We suggest to keep long position today, and be willing to re-buy on a drop to 1.

Despite yesterday's fall to If resistance at 1. If successful the upward trend will continue towards 1. If dropping under the support 1. An old point-spread forex scam was based on computer manipulation of bid-ask spreads.

The point spread between the bid and ask basically reflects the commission of a back-and-forth transaction processed through a broker. These spreads typically differ between currency pairs. The scam occurs when those point spreads differ widely among brokers.

A pip is the smallest price move that a given exchange rate makes based on market convention. Since most major currency pairs are priced to four decimal places, the smallest change is that of the last decimal point. Factor in four or more additional pips on every trade, and any potential gains resulting from a good trade can be eaten away by commissions, depending on how the forex broker structures their fees for trading.

This scam has quieted down over the last 10 years, but be careful of any offshore retail brokers that are not regulated by the CFTC, NFA , or their nation of origin. Many saw a jail cell for these computer manipulations. But the majority of violators have historically been United States-based companies, not the offshore ones. A popular modern-day scam is the signal seller. Signal sellers are retail firms, pooled asset managers, managed account companies, or individual traders that offer a system—for a daily, weekly, or monthly fee—that claims to identify favorable times to buy or sell a currency pair based on professional recommendations that will make anyone wealthy.

They tout their long experience and trading abilities, plus testimonials from people who vouch for how great a trader and friend the person is, and the vast wealth that this person has earned for them. All the unsuspecting trader has to do is hand over X amount of dollars for the privilege of trade recommendations. Many of signal-seller scammers simply collect money from a certain number of traders and disappear.

Some will recommend a good trade now and then, to allow the signal money to perpetuate. This new scam is slowly becoming a wider problem. Although there are signal sellers who are honest and perform trade functions as intended, it pays to be skeptical. A persistent scam, old and new, presents itself in some types of forex-developed trading systems.

Either way, many of these systems have never been submitted for formal review or tested by an independent source. If the parameters and optimization codes are invalid, the system will generate random buy and sell signals. This will cause unsuspecting traders to do nothing more than gamble. Although tested systems exist on the market, potential forex traders should do some research before putting money into one of these approaches.

This can be viewed as a scam in itself. No trader should pay more than a few hundred dollars for a proper system today. Be especially careful of system sellers who offer programs at exorbitant prices justified by a guarantee of phenomenal results. Instead, look for legitimate sellers whose systems have been properly tested to potentially earn income. Another persistent problem is the commingling of funds.

Without a record of segregated accounts, individuals cannot track the exact performance of their investments. Section 4D of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of addressed the issue of fund segregation; what occurs in other nations is a separate issue. An important factor to always consider when choosing a broker or a trading system is to be skeptical of promises or promotional material that guarantees a high level of performance.

For example, can you enter or exit a trade during volatile market action after an economic announcement? Many changes have driven out the crooks and the old scams and legitimized the system for the many good firms.

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Local target price might be around 1. The pair touched 1. The hourlies show that the negative steam is about to be over, and a bullish cross is forming on the 4 Hour chart, indicating that there might be a move up again. The massive upwards channel on the daily chart shows no signs of regression, as the slow stochastic supports the notion that the move continues. The hourlies are showing that the current price level is on the bottom of the channel which indicates s good entry point before the additional move up begins.

After peaking at 1. The pair now floats at the upper level of the channel, and together with the bearish slow stochastic the conclusion appears to be a further move south, possibly to the 1. The pair has been showing one the most impressive downtrends currently happening in the forex market.

For more than six months now we see the pair nose dive. All the momentum indicators shows that down is the way to go here, and at this point it looks very lucrative to swing a short position on this phenomenal downtrend. With the dollar barely moving now, this the 4th day in a row, many traders have begun asking themselves 2 questions: 1. What's holding the dollar up 2. What's the reasons which may cause the dollar to crumble under pressure again?

Let's start with the basics: for starters, there are a lot of economic releases expected today and tomorrow ranging from inflation to employment data. The reason the dollar has barely moved is due to the fact that the market is awaiting these news releases. Will the dollar crumble thereafter? The real question is not this but rather will the dollar break record lows again?

This question is on the minds of traders as we head to this Friday's Payrolls release, an indicator that has been known to topple the dollar in the past, especially when the American economy was seen as lackluster - as it is now. The real worry for traders is today's GDP release. Traders should recall the previous release, on the 27th of April, which helped the dollar make its recent gains. It should also be noted that since that date, bonds, equities, and the dollar have all made significant gains.

Today, however, with markets expecting a significant slide in the GDP figure, down to 0. We look to this figure above all others as the sign of future bodings for the forlorn dollar. It may well be that it is overbought at this point and traders will look for bad news to dump the dollar and fast. We suggest alertness. With the European Central bank scheduled to meet on June 6, incoming economic data has done little to clarify whether the central bank will raise rates in June.

Today the Euro-zone retail PMI dropped back into contracting territory. This suggests that consumer spending was very weak in April and possibly in May as well. In addition to that disappointment, M3 money supply which is an inflationary indicator also fell short of expectations, signaling that inflationary pressures may be abating. It may seem that data is beginning to weaken, but there are still a lot of data that could shift the outlook either way.

Meanwhile the Swiss franc is stronger against the Euro ahead of its first quarter GDP release tomorrow. The Japanese Yen is stronger against all of the major currencies with the exception of the Australian and New Zealand dollars. Even though the US stock market has not responded negatively to the move in the Shanghai index, and actually made gains yesterday, carry traders need to be very careful in the weeks to come.

If the Shanghai stock market rebounds and refuses to fall, the Chinese government will become even more anxious about cooling the stock market. As a result, they could take more aggressive measures which would only put further pressure on carry trades.

The pair recovered most of the losses after nailing a new low for its short-term downtrend. The pair should trade sideways to lower today. It has strong support at 1. If this level breaks, look for a test of the support at 1. Below this Fibonacci retracement level there is support at 1. Immediate resistance is at 1. Next resistance lies between 1. A close above 1. We have retraced to almost The Sterling should make a good effort to base here and try to rally back to 1.

We suggest to keep long position today, and be willing to re-buy on a drop to 1. Despite yesterday's fall to If resistance at 1. If successful the upward trend will continue towards 1. If dropping under the support 1. If that level is broken, the downward trend will continue towards 1.

With support firmly in place at On Friday, we saw the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls which came out stronger than the expected K at K. Personal Income Plummeted to negative As for today, the US calendar is empty and seems to be very light for the rest of the week.

It looks as if a slight positive wind is blowing at the USD's and it remains to be seen whether it will continue as the rest of the week unfolds. The EUR was one of the only currencies that could sustain the blow taken from the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls and came back exactly to where it started prior to the release.

What caused the strong EUR behavior was probably the extremely strong German Retail Sales release which was expected to get out of negative territory of The highlight of this coming week will surely be the ECB Rate decision which is widely expected to hike 0. Carry trades continue with full steam as the JPY is trading at record levels against most major currencies.

The JPY is traded at As for the rest of this week, there is no significant news events expected to be released from the Japanese market, and carry trades will probably continue to take the JPY lower to the next record low. The pair is consolidating around 1. The Daily charts are bearish, as the hourlies support the notion that the continuation of the downtrend is on the way.

A correction up might happen but if a break through 1. After touching the 1. The hourlies are bullish, and the dailies support with the RSI indicating that the momentum is growing for the trend to grow stronger. The next target price is around 1. The pair is peaking at As for now all indicators support the bullish notion, together with bullish signals from the Daily studies. The hourlies are a bit overbought which indicates that buying on dips might be a preferable strategy today.

There is an upwards channel pattern forming on the daily chart and the pair is now floating at the upper level of it. It looks as if the pair might test the bottom level at 1. If a break will occur on either side of the channel, we expect an additional 80 pip move. After a very impressive uptrend that started three months ago, the pair shows no signs of a stop.

There is a price consolidation on the 1. It looks as if the next price target is 1. Yesterday, Monday, the dollar weakened due to weaker-than-expected factory orders in the United States. Commerce Department reported orders to factories rose less than expected in April. Orders were up 0. It was the weakest result in three months and less than half of the 0. Markets are closely watching U. The Fed has left its key interest rate unchanged at 5.

In other trading, the Canadian dollar continued its climb against the greenback after breaching 94 cents Friday for the first time in 30 years. The U. Analysts speculate that the Canadian currency will equal 1 U. The dollar also weakened against the Swiss franc, falling to 1.

Despite this, it seems that the greenback will keep its strengthening during the next 2 weeks or so. After two days of releases on Thursday and Friday, yesterday proved more of a quiet day with very little of note being released. In the U. Future business activity dipped to While the numbers still show an expanding market the pullback following the softer house price numbers is bringing a hint that construction companies are slowing their expansion with the risk of a correction to the price bubble.

Inflation pressure is still in focus and some economists believe that an interest hike is inevitable. By hiking rates by 0. Euro-zone April PPI rose by 0. The recent increase in oil prices clearly had an effect though the overall number still maintains a basically benign inflationary picture. Even if inflation is under control the repeated comments from ECB board members remains hawkish with both Trichet and Weber commenting that Euro interest rates are still too low.

Not that the market hasn't heard them before but it does make sure that everyone is agreed that the ECB will hike rates again this week to 4. The numbers are basically not too bad and while they are not about to excite the market they do tend to confirm the general strengthening in factory data. Finally Fuji from Japan's MOF commented that he still sees Japan's corporate sector remaining solid and expects that confidence to spread into households at some point.

Corporate tax remains steady but profits are not being fed through to wages. It is difficult to imagine too much of a 'feel good' sensation spreading into households. The JPY still seemed to be traded at short range how ever the economy leaders in Japan are believing on the economy recovery of Japan.

On the 4 H chart we notice that the bullish trend is running out of steam and the short time scale charts are already showing a reversal signal. The Slow Stochastic is clearly overbought crossing at 90 which only verifies our suspicions. Going short would seem to be preferable. On the 4 H we can see a bullish pennant which may imply a continuation of the bullish trend.

RSI at 84 and Slow Stochastic cross at 92 only verify the overbought status. Preferable strategy is to wait for a significant signal for going long so; traders, meanwhile, please hold your breath. In the last 10 days this pair has been traded in bullish channel Waiting for a positive signal would be the right thing to do. The 4 H chart implies of an upcoming reversal but not just yet, this pair is on its way to oversold territory while Slow Stochastic is crossing at However, lack of technical patterns which is missing on these charts, prevents us of making recommendations.

This forex pair is clearly in overbought territory while RSI at 92 and Stochastic Slow is crossing on The preferable strategy today would be going short. Forex traders have the opportunity of a great entry point for a swing trade. It looks as if the next price target is 0. Hi Vrama You trading live yet? You agree to website policy and terms of use.

ForexYard's Commentaries. New comment. Economic News USD Yesterday the greenback was mixed against most of the major currencies as investors sought to weigh US economic prospects amid hopes that the world's largest economy will pick up steam later this year. EUR Yesterday the Italian retail sales figure released at 0. JPY Improving prospects for interest rates in the US and the UK has given further impetus for the carry trades; this is where investors borrow money in countries with low interest rates in order to invest in higher-yielding assets elsewhere.

Economic News USD Last week's main news came from the housing market, which delivered mixed signals as New Home Sales came in much stronger than expected at K on Thursday, and Existing Home Sales was released at a much lower figure of 5. Preferable strategy may be to go long. EUR Yesterday the European current account was reported at an unexpected surplus of 5. JPY The yen edged higher yesterday, after China said it would raise a stamp duty on stocks in an attempt to cool its equity markets, prompting concerns about risky trades financed by borrowing in the Japanese currency.

Economic News USD With the dollar barely moving now, this the 4th day in a row, many traders have begun asking themselves 2 questions: 1. EUR The EUR was one of the only currencies that could sustain the blow taken from the release of the Nonfarm Payrolls and came back exactly to where it started prior to the release.

EUR After two days of releases on Thursday and Friday, yesterday proved more of a quiet day with very little of note being released. JPY Finally Fuji from Japan's MOF commented that he still sees Japan's corporate sector remaining solid and expects that confidence to spread into households at some point. A clear picture of what is going on and easily understandable to bigginers like me. Thanks again. You are missing trading opportunities:. Registration Log in.

No trader should pay more than a few hundred dollars for a proper system today. Be especially careful of system sellers who offer programs at exorbitant prices justified by a guarantee of phenomenal results. Instead, look for legitimate sellers whose systems have been properly tested to potentially earn income. Another persistent problem is the commingling of funds. Without a record of segregated accounts, individuals cannot track the exact performance of their investments.

Section 4D of the Commodity Futures Modernization Act of addressed the issue of fund segregation; what occurs in other nations is a separate issue. An important factor to always consider when choosing a broker or a trading system is to be skeptical of promises or promotional material that guarantees a high level of performance. For example, can you enter or exit a trade during volatile market action after an economic announcement?

Many changes have driven out the crooks and the old scams and legitimized the system for the many good firms. However, always be wary of new forex scams; the temptation and allure of huge profits will always bring new and more sophisticated scammers to this market. Bank for International Settlements.

Advanced Concepts. Your Money. Personal Finance. Your Practice. Popular Courses. Key Takeaways Many scams in the forex market are no longer as pervasive due to tighter regulations, but some problems still exist. One shady practice is when forex brokers offer wide bid-ask spreads on certain currency pairs, making it more difficult to earn profits on trades. Be careful of any offshore, unregulated broker. Individuals and companies that market systems—like signal sellers or robot trading—sometimes sell products that are not tested and do not yield profitable results.

If the forex broker is commingling funds or limiting customer withdrawals, it could be an indicator that something fishy is going on. Article Sources. Investopedia requires writers to use primary sources to support their work. These include white papers, government data, original reporting, and interviews with industry experts.

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