very simple forex strategy
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Very simple forex strategy

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The theory is that these losses will be offset by more infrequent but larger winning trades. That is a hard pill to swallow in practice. Also, once the trend breaks down, you tend to give back a healthy amount of your profit. You may have heard the phrase, "the trend is your friend", but you may not be so familiar with the full expression, which adds "until the end". The end comes when the trend fails, and this can be very trying on a trader's psychology.

One big issue with a trend-following system is that you need deep pockets to properly use it. This is because possession of a large amount of capital reduces your chances of going bust during an extended drawdown. So trend following is useful as a Forex strategy for beginners to understand, but it may not be ideal for less wealthy individuals. Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance.

Our first strategy attempts to identify when a trend might be forming. It looks for price breakouts. Markets sometimes range between bands of support and resistance. This is known as consolidation. A breakout is when the market moves beyond the boundaries of its consolidation, to new highs or lows.

When a new trend occurs, a breakout must occur first. Breakouts are, therefore, seen as potential signals that a new trend has begun. But the trouble is, not all breakouts result in new trends. In Forex, even such simple strategies must be used with risk management.

By doing so, you seek to minimise your losses during the trend break-down. A new high indicates the possibility that an upward trend is beginning, and a new low indicates that a downward trend is beginning.

The length of the period can help determine the highest high or the lowest low. A breakout beyond the highest high or the lowest low for a longer period suggests a longer trend. A breakout for a short period suggests a short-term trend.

In other words, you can tune a breakout strategy to react more quickly or more slowly to the formation of a trend. Reacting quicker allows you to ride a trend earlier in the curve, but may result in following more shorter-term trends. The buy signal is when the price breaks out above the day high, and the sell signal is when the price breaks out below the day low.

This is very simple, but there is still a major drawback. Namely, new highs may not result in a new uptrend, and new lows may not result in a new downtrend. So we are going to experience our fair share of false signals. Using a stop-loss can help to alleviate this problem. To keep things really simple, here's an extremely basic rule for exiting trades: We are going to take a time-based approach.

You simply close your position after a certain number of days have elapsed. This time-based exit side-steps the issue of things becoming tricky when the trend begins to break down. Once you enter a trade, hold it for 80 days and then exit. Remember, this is a long-term strategy. If you find these parameters do not yield enough frequent signals, they can be adjusted to whatever suits you best. For example, you can try using hours instead of days for a shorter strategy. Backtesting your results will give you a feel for the effectiveness of your choices.

MT4SE offers backtesting, along with a large selection of other useful tools. If you're interested in trying this strategy out without risking your money on live markets, there's no better place to do this than on a FREE Admirals demo trading account. Instead of heading straight to the live markets and putting your capital at risk, you can avoid the risk altogether and simply practice until you are ready to transition to live trading. Take control of your trading experience, click the banner below to open your FREE demo account today!

Our second Forex strategy for beginners uses a simple moving average SMA. SMA is a lagging indicator that uses older price data than most strategies, and moves more slowly than the current market price.

The longer the period over which the SMA is averaged, the slower it moves. For this simple Forex strategy, we are going to use a day moving average as our shorter SMA, and a day moving average for the longer one.

In the chart above, the day moving average is the dotted red line. You can see that it follows the actual price quite closely. The day moving average is the dotted green line. Notice how it smooths out the price movement? When the shorter, faster SMA crosses the longer one, it indicates a change in the trend.

This suggests a bullish trend, and this is our buy signal. Rather than solely being used to generate trading signals, moving averages are often used as confirmations of overall trends. This means that we can combine these two strategies by using the confirmatory aspect of our SMA to make our breakout signals more effective.

With this combined strategy, we discard breakout signals that don't match the overall trend indicated by our moving averages. If it is, we should place our trade. Otherwise, perhaps it's better to wait. Our final strategy is essential to know. It's a type of trade that is widely used by professionals too, so it is not purely a beginner Forex strategy. Best of all, it is easy to implement and understand. The essence of the carry trade is to profit from the difference in yield between two currencies.

To understand the principles involved, let's first consider someone who physically converts currency. Imagine a trader borrows a sum of Japanese Yen. Because the benchmark Japanese interest rate is extremely low effectively zero at the time of writing , the cost of holding this debt is negligible.

The trader then exchanges the yen into Canadian dollars and invests the proceeds into a government bond , which yields 0. The interest received on the bond should exceed the cost of financing the Yen debt. Obviously, a currency risk is baked into the trade. If the Yen appreciated enough against the Canadian dollar, the trader would end up losing money. The same principles apply when trading FX, but you have the convenience of it all being in one trade.

If you buy a currency pair where the first-named ''base currency'' has a sufficiently high interest rate, in relation to the second-named ''quote currency'', then your account will receive funds from the positive swap rate. The trader who has been struggling for years has to not only find what works best for them, but they also have to break any bad habits and put aside negative feelings they may have built up over the years. I welcome you to read on and learn three trading strategies that have become staples in my trading plan.

When it comes to Forex trading for beginners, the pin bar is king. Notice how the market came into resistance during a rally but was soon able to break through that resistance. One of the basic principles of technical analysis is that former resistance becomes new support.

Sure enough the market found support at former resistance and formed a bullish pin bar in the process. Once the market broke through resistance, it found new support and formed two bullish pin bars. Shortly after forming these pin bars, the market continued its rally for an additional pips. For more information on this particular strategy, see the lesson on the Forex pin bar trading strategy. Another highly-effective Forex trading strategy for beginners is the inside bar strategy.

Unlike the pin bar, the inside bar is best traded as a continuation pattern. This means we want to use a pending order to trade a breakout in the direction of the major trend. Notice how the bar preceding the inside bar is much larger in size. These are the best inside bars to trade because it shows a true consolidation period which often leads to a continuation of the major trend, which in this case is up. For more on this strategy, see the lesson on the inside bar trading strategy.

This strategy is different than most of the conventional breakout strategies out there. Notice how the market has worked itself into a terminal wedge, which simply means that the pattern must eventually come to an end. The opportunity to trade this pattern occurs when the market breaks to either side and then retests the level as new support or resistance. In the case of the illustration above, the entry would have come on a retest of support-turned-resistance. Notice how in the USDJPY 4 hour chart above, the market touched the upper and lower boundaries of the wedge several times before eventually breaking lower.

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Forex robot 2015 You can see that it follows the actual price quite closely. Continue reading to discover forex very simple forex strategy strategies that work and gain some insights into what you need to do as a beginner trader to be successful in the forex market. It might take days for a quality opportunity to show up, or you might end up holding a trade open for a week or more while running an open loss. Range trading strategy 3. So now that you are aware of the risks, let's look at how you could trade the news. A breakout strategy aims to enter a trade as soon as the price manages to break out of its range.
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Strategies that retain some uncertainty and cannot be easily formalized into mathematical rules are called discretionary. Such strategies can be backtested only manually. They are also prone to emotional errors and various psychological biases. On the bright side, discretionary trading is very flexible and allows experienced traders to avoid losses in difficult market situation, while offering an opportunity to extend profit when traders deem it feasible.

Newbie currency traders should probably stay away from discretionary trading, or at least try to minimize the extent of their discretion in trading. In this Forex strategy repository, you will find various strategies that are divided into three major categories:. Indicator Forex strategies are such trading strategies that are based on the standard Forex chart indicators and can be used by anyone who has an access to some charting software e.

These FX strategies are recommended to traders that prefer technical analysis indicators over everything else:. Price action Forex strategies are the currency trading strategies that do not use any chart or fundamental indicators but instead are based purely on the price action. These strategies will fit both short-term and long-term traders, who do not like the delay of the standard indicators and prefer to listen as the market is speaking.

Various candlestick patterns , waves, tick-based strategies, grid and pending position systems — they all fall into this category:. Fundamental Forex strategies are strategies based on purely fundamental factors that stand behind the bought and sold currencies. Various fundamental indicators, such as interest rates and macroeconomic statistics, affect the behavior of the foreign exchange market. These strategies are quite popular and will benefit long-term traders that prefer fundamental data analysis over technical factors:.

It is very important to test your trading strategy before going live with it. There are two ways to test your potential trading strategy: backtesting and forward testing. Backtesting is a kind of a strategy test performed on the past data.

It can be either automated or manual. For automated backtesting, a special software should be coded. Automated testing is more precise but requires a fully mechanical trading system to test. Manual testing is slow and can be rather inaccurate, but requires no extra programming and can be done without any special preparation process. Any backtesting results should be taken with a grain of salt as the tested strategy might have been created to fit particular backetsting historical data.

Forward testing is performed either on a demo account or on a very small micro live account. During such tests, you trade normally with your strategy as if you were trading your live account. As with backtesting, forward testing can also be automated.

In this case, you would need to create a trading robot or expert advisor to execute your system. Of course, with discretionary strategy, you are limited solely to manual testing. Forward testing results are considered to be more useful and representative than those of the backtests. Regardless of how you decide to test your strategy, you need to understand the results you get. They also use the information to view how its value is likely to move relative to another currency in the future.

It can be easily simplified by concentrating on a few major indicators. Trend trading is another popular and good forex trading strategy. The technique involves identifying a downward or upward trend in a currency price movement and then choosing trade entry and exit points. Trend traders use many different tools and indicators to evaluate trends, such as moving averages, relative strength indicators RSI , volume measurements, directional indices, and stochastic.

Range trading is a simple and popular trading strategy based on the idea that prices often hold within a steady and noticeable range for a given period. Range forex traders rely on being able to buy and sell at predictable highs and lows of resistance and support frequently, sometimes repeatedly over one or more trading sessions.

Range traders may use the same tools as trend traders to identify good trade exit and entry levels, including the relative strength index, the commodity channel index, and stochastic. Momentum trading and Forex momentum indicators are based on the idea that strong chart price movements in a particular direction are a very good sign that a price trend will continue in that exact direction for some time.

Similarly, weakening movements will indicate that a trend has lost strength and could be headed for a reversal. Momentum strategies may consider price and volume and often use visual analysis tools like oscillators and candlestick charts. The biggest problem with this information is in lack of detailed discusion along with charting examples. Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Attachment The maximum upload file size: 5 MB.

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